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Quebec Premier Legault is pushing for more provincial powers amid sagging polls

MONTREAL 鈥 Quebec's premier says he wants to find new powers to boost his province's autonomy within Canada, but experts are keeping their expectations in check.
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The Quebec government wants to find new powers to boost its autonomy within Canada, but experts are keeping their expectations in check. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, right, and Quebec Premier Francois Legault meet, in Quebec City, Monday, June 10, 2024. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jacques Boissinot

MONTREAL 鈥 Quebec's premier says he wants to find new powers to boost his province's autonomy within Canada, but experts are keeping their expectations in check.

Facing disappointing polls and a simmering conflict with the federal government over immigration, Quebec Premier Fran莽ois Legault last week announced the creation of a new committee to study the province's rights and enhance its powers within the federation.

The committee is tasked with examining federal intrusion into areas of provincial jurisdiction. 鈥淭he federal government has intensified a worrying trend toward centralization and encroachment,鈥 Legault said Friday during a speech in the legislature with strong nationalist overtones. 鈥淲e must continue to strengthen Quebec's autonomy, preserve its rights and obtain more powers in fundamental areas.鈥

On Monday, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau dismissed the move as a political response to the rise in popularity of the sovereigntist Parti Qu茅b茅cois, which has been leading in provincial polls since the fall.

鈥淚 know Mr. Legault is under a fair bit of pressure from the PQ right now,鈥 Trudeau told reporters after a meeting with Legault in Quebec City. 鈥淭here鈥檚 nothing inherently threatening about a province deciding to look at ways of improving our democracy.鈥

Charles Breton, executive director of the Centre of Excellence on the Canadian Federation at the Institute for Research on Public Policy, said the committee鈥檚 creation is mostly about Quebec's internal politics. 鈥淚 think the prime minister is entirely correct to not be too worried,' he said in an interview Tuesday.

Breton said some of the issues the committee has been instructed to study are 鈥渕ore political than anything,鈥 including federal spending in areas of provincial policy.

On Friday, Legault insisted Ottawa鈥檚 intrusion into provincial matters 鈥渓imits the right of the Quebec nation to make its own choices.鈥

It鈥檚 鈥渁bsolutely true,鈥 Breton said, that nationally Ottawa has used its spending power to direct provincial policy, including through federal child care and dental care programs. But in those cases, Breton pointed out, Quebec has been able to opt out of the national programs and seek compensation. 鈥淪o I鈥檓 not sure what they鈥檙e complaining about, in a way,鈥 he said.

The announcement of the new committee came ahead of Monday's meeting between Trudeau and Legault to discuss immigration. Legault says the 560,000 temporary immigrants in the province are putting an enormous strain on housing and health care. He has demanded Quebec be given full power over immigration 鈥 at one point threatening a referendum on the issue 鈥 and the new autonomy committee has been instructed to study that demand.

But on Monday, Trudeau offered the Legault government $750 million to help ease the pressure from temporary immigrants in the province. It was less than the $1 billion Legault had asked for, but Breton said the money should help to 鈥渄e-escalate the conflict.鈥

Daniel B茅land, a political scientist at McGill University, compared the committee to Alberta鈥檚 Fair Deal panel, struck in 2019 by former premier Jason Kenney to examine whether that province was getting shortchanged by Ottawa. That committee, he said, was helpful in crafting the Alberta government's agenda. "But the report itself I don鈥檛 think had a very strong impact in terms of swaying the federal government in one way or another,鈥 he said.

B茅land said in an interview that Legault has struggled to increase Quebec鈥檚 powers, including over immigration. 鈥淗e鈥檚 been accused by the opposition parties of failing in that regard,鈥 he said. 鈥淭his is a reflection of the fact that Fran莽ois Legault needs to please the nationalist base and needs to show that he really can defend Quebec."

But it will be a 鈥渢all order鈥 for the committee to tackle such a broad mandate with recommendations due on Oct. 15, B茅land said.

The committee is comprised mainly of academics and will be co-chaired by S茅bastien Proulx, a former provincial Liberal cabinet minister, and Guillaume Rousseau, a law professor who helped draft Quebec鈥檚 contentious secularism law, Bill 21.

鈥淚鈥檓 going to be looking for something that鈥檚 actionable 鈥 and I鈥檓 not sure that鈥檚 what we鈥檒l see,鈥 Breton said. 鈥淚 think it鈥檚 useful from time to time to do exercises like this one. I don鈥檛 see that as a useless committee. Not at all. But I would also not make too much out of it."

This report by The Canadian Press was first published June 12, 2024.

Maura Forrest, The Canadian Press

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