NEW YORK 鈥� Once again, mayhem and mass destruction is back at the box office. It鈥檚 almost like old times.
鈥淕odzilla vs. Kong,鈥� one of the few tentpoles to dare release during COVID times, is poised this weekend to set a new high in ticket sales during the pandemic. It won鈥檛 be the kind of blockbuster business such a big-budget release would typically manage, but experts forecast a launch of at least $25 million.
Opening-day ticket sales on Wednesday for 鈥淕odzilla vs. Kong鈥�
For the first time in a long time, there鈥檚 the faint hint of a hit at the box office.
鈥淚t鈥檚 a good omen that the tastes of the consumer have not shifted so much that there鈥檚 no possibility of restarting the movie business,鈥� says Joshua Grode, chief executive of Legendary Entertainment, which produced 鈥淕odzilla vs. Kong." 鈥淭his tells everybody: the moviegoing business is here, and, yes, it may be different post-pandemic. But there is a viable industry there.鈥�
Huge challenges remain to the revival of moviegoing. With so many cinemas shuttered for nearly an entire year, many moviegoers are out of the habit. Some are unlikely to return to sitting indoors with strangers until they're vaccinated or the pandemic has ebbed. And even those who have been convinced of the safety of moviegoing by
But few scream big screen as much as King Kong and Godzilla. To help kickstart moviegoing and bring back a little chest-thumping swagger to
鈥淭he issue is less convincing consumers to go to the movies than it is convincing studios to open their movies,鈥� says Rich Gelfond, IMAX'S chief executive. 鈥淭here鈥檚 been a hesitancy on the part of Hollywood studios to release movies because they haven鈥檛 been convinced the demand is there. What I really hope this weekend shows is that there is a lot of demand there and it convinces them to open a lot of movies that have been sitting on the shelf.鈥�
Since the launch of 鈥淭enet鈥� fizzled last August, and virus cases soared, most studios have been postponing or rerouting their biggest releases to streaming services. But as vaccinations have ramped up and restrictions have eased, more
Recently, ticket sales, while still far below their usual levels, are ticking upward. The best debut of 2021 was 鈥淭om & Jerry,鈥� with $13.7 million in late February. The pandemic-high belongs to 鈥淲onder Woman 1984,鈥� which launched with $16.7 million in December. Each were Warner Bros. releases that landed simultaneously on HBO Max 鈥� a once controversial release plan that has helped
Nevertheless, the Walt Disney Co. recently delayed the planned summer-kickoff of 鈥淏lack Widow鈥� to July, while pushing a number of titles to its streaming platform, Disney+. Part of what鈥檚 holding blockbusters back is the need for a global release to make back their sizable production budgets and marketing spend. (鈥淕odzilla vs. Kong鈥� cost about $160 million to make.) While moviegoing in much of Asia is rejuvenated, rising cases in Europe and in countries like Brazil have, for now, made a full worldwide rollout impossible.
Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst for Comscore, believes 鈥淕odzilla vs. Kong鈥� will be 鈥渁nother building block in our education in where the industry is heading.鈥�
鈥淭he theatrical experience will prove to be viable and resilient as it always has,鈥� says Dergarabedian. 鈥淏ut it鈥檚 going to be a different world, no question. I think it鈥檚 going to be a leaner, meaner business going forward.鈥�
Some of the old standard practices that have governed blockbusters aren't coming back. Studios like Warner Bros. and Universal Pictures have made deals to shorten exclusive theatrical windows. Warner Bros. next year will hold movies in
鈥淭he value of those streaming/pay-TV rights are more valuable now because you鈥檙e getting access to them much, much earlier than you did before,鈥� says Grode. 鈥淪o you kind of have to rerun your model of how the movie is going to perform over its lifetime.鈥�
It's also meant some tense negotiations over profit participation. When Warner Bros. surprised with its hybrid release plans for 2021, Legendary 鈥� whose highly anticipated 鈥淒une鈥� is to be released in the fall by Warner Bros. 鈥� considered legal action before arriving at an agreement.
鈥淲e obviously didn鈥檛 like the way they announced what they were doing in 2021, and I think they would admit they didn鈥檛 handle it perfectly,鈥� says Grode. 鈥淏ut when you look at the state of the world, the facts as we all knew them at the time, their decision made a lot of sense.鈥�
鈥淵ou get over that pretty quickly and you get back to business,鈥� he added.
Helping
The box office might not quite roar again this weekend, but 鈥淕odzilla vs. Kong鈥� may show it has a little bite left. Says Grode: 鈥淚n years from now, when people write about coming back to the movies, I鈥檓 very proud that 鈥楪odzilla vs. Kong鈥� will be in that history."
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Follow AP Film Writer Jake Coyle on Twitter at: http://twitter.com/jakecoyleAP
Jake Coyle, The Associated Press
