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Movie theaters and streamers may end up friends, after all

NEW YORK (AP) 鈥 After Ben Affleck and Matt Damon test screened their Nike drama 鈥淎ir,鈥 the film executives at Amazon Studios threw them a curveball. 鈥淭hey said, 鈥榃hat do you guys think about a theatrical release?鈥欌 Damon says.
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Ticket prices and showtimes for the Amazon Studios film "Air" is displayed at the Los Feliz Theater, Wednesday, April 19, 2023, in Los Angeles. Amazon Studios plans to release 12 to 15 movies theatrically every year, and Apple is set to spend $1 billion a year on movies that will land in cinemas before streaming. (AP Photo/Chris Pizzello)

NEW YORK (AP) 鈥 After Ben Affleck and Matt Damon test screened their Nike drama 鈥淎ir,鈥 the film executives at Amazon Studios threw them a curveball.

鈥淭hey said, 鈥榃hat do you guys think about a theatrical release?鈥欌 Damon says. 鈥淚t wasn鈥檛 what we expected when we first made the deal.鈥

鈥淎ir,鈥 about Nike鈥檚 pursuit of a shoe deal with Michael Jordan, went over so well with early audiences that Amazon, despite acquiring the film for its Prime Video streaming service, wanted to launch it in theaters. And in its first two weeks in theaters, 鈥淎ir鈥 has been a hit.

After a strong five-day debut of $20.2 million 鈥 especially good for an adult-skewing drama 鈥 鈥淎ir鈥 dipped only 47% in its second weekend. Reviews have been stellar. When 鈥淎ir鈥 does arrive on Prime Video, the studio and its filmmakers expect an even better showing than if they hadn鈥檛 launched in theaters.

鈥淚t should function as free advertising to create this halo effect which in turn creates more viewers on the service,鈥 says Affleck, who directed and co-stars in 鈥淎ir.鈥 鈥淚f that鈥檚 the case, I think the business will really expand and go back to a broader theatrical model.鈥

Not long ago, some were predicting more and more films would be diverted from theaters and sent straight into homes. Moviegoing was destined to die, they said. Not only has that forecast fallen flat, the opposite is happening in some cases. Companies like Amazon and Apple are sprinting into multiplexes, taking a distinctly different approach to the staunchly streaming-focused Netflix. Launched on 3,507 screens, 鈥淎ir鈥 was the biggest release ever by a streamer 鈥 and it鈥檚 just the start. Amazon Studios, led by Jennifer Salke, is planning to release 12-15 movies theatrically every year. Apple is set to spend $1 billion a year on movies that will land in cinemas before streaming.

Movie theaters and (most) streaming services are turning out to be fast friends, after all.

鈥淲e truly think that by putting it into theaters, you just can鈥檛 otherwise get that kind of word of mouth and press around it,鈥 says Kevin Wilson, Amazon Studios and MGM theatrical distribution executive. 鈥淣o matter how much you spend, that鈥檚 a hard thing to replace.鈥

That 鈥渉alo effect鈥 isn鈥檛 quite free. It takes a robust marketing blitz to raise awareness for a film. But whether a movie is headed to a streaming platform or video on demand, the splash of a theatrical run can cascade through through every subsequent window. A film dropped straight into a vast digital expanse might go viral or quickly fade into one of a million things you can click on.

Moviegoing still hasn鈥檛 yet reached pre-pandemic levels, but it鈥檚 getting close. Movie after movie has overperformed at the box office lately, including 鈥淐reed III鈥 (released by MGM, which Amazon owns) and Lionsgate鈥檚 鈥淛ohn Wick: Chapter 4.鈥 With more than $600 million in two weeks, Universal Pictures鈥 鈥淪uper Mario Bros.鈥 is breaking records for animated films.

鈥淚t鈥檚 springtime in the theatrical business,鈥 exclaims John Fithian, the soon-departing president and chief executive of the National Association of Theater Owners.

Last year, Hollywood鈥檚 theatrical pipeline fell well short of the pre-pandemic rate of releases. With 63% of 2019鈥檚 wide releases, the box office reached 64% of 2019鈥檚 box office. The problem, exhibitors argued, was not enough supply. This year, around three dozen more wide releases are on the schedule.

鈥淏oth Amazon and Apple have signaled that they have $1 billion-plus in forward budgeting for the production and marketing of movies to be released theatrically,鈥 Fithian says. 鈥淲e鈥檙e going to get to a point in a year or so where we have more movies distributed theatrically than we did pre-pandemic.鈥

Movie theaters aren鈥檛 totally out of the woods. During the pandemic, the number of screens operating in the U.S. and Canada dropped from 44,283 in 2019 to 40,263, according to NATO. Though those losses are far less than many anticipated, the balance sheets for some theater chains remain strained. Regal鈥檚 parent company, Cineworld, declared Chapter 11 bankruptcy last year.

Streaming, though, may be departing the role of archrival. During the pandemic, studios took different roads in trying out new methods of release. But while large numbers of films, like Apple鈥檚 starry action-adventure 鈥淕hosted鈥 this Friday, are still going straight to streaming, some of the biggest movie suppliers have turned away from those pandemic-era experiments.

鈥淒irect-to-streaming movies were providing really no value to us,鈥 David Zaslav, chief executive of Warner Bros. Discovery, said earlier this year.

But Netflix, the streaming pioneer, has remained resistant to embracing theaters. Increasingly, Netflix looks like the lone holdout.

鈥淒riving folks to a theater is just not our business,鈥 Ted Sarandos, Netflix chief executive, said in an earnings call Tuesday. Netflix鈥檚 scale and reach, he said, makes them different than other steaming services. A recent popular release like 鈥淢urder Mystery 2,鈥 with Adam Sandler and Jennifer Aniston, has been watched for 82 million hours in three weeks, according to Netflix.

Later this year, Apple will release wide in theaters two anticipated epics: Martin Scorsese鈥檚 鈥淜illers of the Flower Moon鈥 and Ridley Scott鈥檚 鈥淣apoleon.鈥 They鈥檒l have help. Paramount is distributing 鈥淜illers of the Flower Moon鈥 while Sony is handling 鈥淣apoleon.鈥

鈥淭he Apples of the world and maybe even the Netflixes of the world are seeing: It doesn鈥檛 have to be every movie and it doesn鈥檛 have to completely flip our business model upside down," says Amazon's Wilson.

The movie business always looks better when the hits are rolling in; a few big bombs and all the doubts will start over again. Strategies can shift. But right now, theaters and (most) streamers are finding plenty of common ground. And business is booming again.

Jake Coyle, The Associated Press

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